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Prediction markets

101 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

July 31
July 3199%
August 31
August 3199%4 more
$1.34MVol. Dec 31ai
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

99%

chance

YesNo
$4.26MVol. Jul 31ai
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

No release by July 311%
July 301%5 more
$531KVol. Jul 31ai
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

1450+
1450+99%
1520+
1520+1%5 more
$508KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released on...?

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 999%
July 1450%37 more
$1.01MVol. Jul 31ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+86%
1480+72%4 more
$77KVol. Dec 31ai
Which company has best AI model end of August?

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic
Anthropic91%
Company A50%30 more
$339KVol. Aug 31ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+1%
1480+1%2 more
$25KVol. Dec 31ai
Best AI model on August 1?

Best AI model on August 1?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking84%
Other17%2 more
$36KVol. Aug 1ai