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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
63%
September Meeting
56%
3 more
$1.57M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
64%
Pause–Pause–Pause
32%
7 more
$544K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
47 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet
85%
Central Bank
82%
32 more
$69K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
83%
Other
17%
7 more
$888K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
52 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
57%
Pause–Pause–Pause
39%
7 more
$573K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
63 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
56%
25 bps increase
30%
3 more
$334K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
32%
2 (50 bps)
31%
4 more
$58K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
42 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
27%
Yes
No
1
26%
Yes
No
$50K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
53 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.1K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
43 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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